{
  "evaluated_on": "2026-10-22",
  "period_start": "2026-01-01",
  "period_end": "2026-10-21",
  "scored_days": 294,
  "metric": "net total period return / absolute maximum daily-close drawdown",
  "annualized": false,
  "normal_commission_per_fill": "0.001",
  "normal_adverse_slippage_per_fill": "0.0005",
  "stress_cost_multiplier": 2,
  "initial_usdt": 10000,
  "initial_btc": 0,
  "maximum_btc_weight": 1,
  "leverage": false,
  "same_rule": "SMA100 close filter; last 30 simple daily return sample standard deviation * sqrt365; next-open post-cost target weights; daily rebalances and costed final close liquidation",
  "source_data_sha256": "b8040ef36e47a120dc173e96b9c4fb986f4768b1b81ad2075f6a1300fd4de440",
  "precision_results_sha256": "6207c1533a6a7096a8f1bd497938a8869c4f64db4bb48f225f7ef8270ab9cabc",
  "previous_micro_results_sha256": "17c406e56b6544c06640685bade9b66faa4ac623fea60803089dbc0861c80c96",
  "previous_fine_results_sha256": "ada7848e2c5d33de9e19339b0a688837ed6cb984847eb0168c4e2428aaeb0184",
  "previous_coarse_results_sha256": "3414ff82286bae516503554237fc16fa6bf39ba0959cf865f329fbf5afd7c5dd",
  "independent_audit": {
    "status": "pass",
    "counts": {
      "comparisons": 352,
      "internal_reference_100_comparisons": 12,
      "baseline_comparisons": 24
    }
  },
  "lowest_tested_target_in_best_tie": "50.34",
  "unique_optimum": false,
  "future_optimality_established": false,
  "automatic_target_selection": false,
  "new_independent_out_of_sample": false,
  "gap_first_best_vs_50p30": {
    "1": {
      "precision_step_from_target_percentage": "50.33",
      "precision_step_to_target_percentage": "50.34",
      "final_usdt": "0.080901559655",
      "net_return_percentage_points": "0.00080901559658100",
      "drawdown_percentage_points": "0E-17",
      "final_usdt_vs_previous_precision_step": "0.012295479630"
    },
    "2": {
      "precision_step_from_target_percentage": "50.33",
      "precision_step_to_target_percentage": "50.34",
      "final_usdt": "0.103314539116",
      "net_return_percentage_points": "0.00103314539119400",
      "drawdown_percentage_points": "0E-16",
      "final_usdt_vs_previous_precision_step": "0.015701835126"
    }
  },
  "limitations": [
    "Only completed 2026 UTC daily candles are scored; earlier 100 prices are indicator warmup only.",
    "Repeated selection on known history is not new independent out-of-sample evidence.",
    "Only the stated discrete grids were tested; the first equal winner is not a continuous or future optimum.",
    "Daily-close drawdown excludes intraday losses, actual liquidity, execution uncertainty, lot rounding, taxes and cash interest.",
    "Three trend episodes are a small sample; no guarantee of profit and no account or order changes."
  ],
  "title": "BTC/USDT 2026: %50.30–%50.40, 0.01 puan hassas tarama",
  "target_percentages": [
    "50.30",
    "50.31",
    "50.32",
    "50.33",
    "50.34",
    "50.35",
    "50.36",
    "50.37",
    "50.38",
    "50.39",
    "50.40"
  ],
  "target_budget_1e4_keys": [
    5030,
    5031,
    5032,
    5033,
    5034,
    5035,
    5036,
    5037,
    5038,
    5039,
    5040
  ],
  "scenario_count": 22,
  "best_tied_targets_normal": [
    "50.34",
    "50.35",
    "50.36",
    "50.37",
    "50.38",
    "50.39",
    "50.40"
  ],
  "best_tied_targets_double_cost": [
    "50.34",
    "50.35",
    "50.36",
    "50.37",
    "50.38",
    "50.39",
    "50.40"
  ],
  "comparison": [
    {
      "target_percentage": "50.30",
      "net_return_1x": "0.11137535134813437",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.8393809645804993173683660822011744707567169738892580064600221297243845",
      "rank_1x": 11,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10141551802872284",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.7568937516456403417871574797539971156714082469223517142288682952128007",
      "rank_2x": 11,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.753513481352",
      "fills_1x": 8,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.09195771948061",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.546279457674032",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50p30_1x": "0E-12",
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.155180287236",
      "fills_2x": 8,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.64945788448031",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.825919572793865",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50p30_2x": "0E-12"
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": "50.31",
      "net_return_1x": "0.11137763821610425",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.8393981995738725461458879931834175292595307853404400762482387086846283",
      "rank_1x": 10,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10141843844869958",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.7569155475963542115393060817995464953284690487729417564425623837503810",
      "rank_2x": 10,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.776382161046",
      "fills_1x": 8,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.088002405833045",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.544301805084178",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50p30_1x": "0.022868679694",
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.184384487007",
      "fills_2x": 8,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.64161942530875",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.822000360654606",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50p30_2x": "0.029204199771"
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": "50.32",
      "net_return_1x": "0.11137992508543793",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.8394154345775240613273437531114107263051364671778303544484397198634092",
      "rank_1x": 9,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10142135887216708",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.7569373435731206468539185250025879555236778995339242372854344262772695",
      "rank_2x": 9,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.799250854385",
      "fills_1x": 8,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.08404708982535",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.54232415131426",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50p30_1x": "0.045737373033",
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.21358872167",
      "fills_2x": 8,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.63378095677186",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.818081143832714",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50p30_2x": "0.058408434434"
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": "50.33",
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138221195613784",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.8394326695914721766214601248924265159459309868783598323690583075416269",
      "rank_1x": 8,
      "net_return_2x": "0.1014242792991229",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.7569591395759214372954528609700998388882918660791772355855175175327970",
      "rank_2x": 8,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.822119561377",
      "fills_1x": 8,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.08009177145753",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.540346496364286",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50p30_1x": "0.068606080025",
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.242792991226",
      "fills_2x": 8,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62594247886963",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81416192232817",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50p30_2x": "0.087612703990"
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": "50.34",
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.8394419360866359130858474254057334982315506376273640393685231147920032",
      "rank_1x": 1,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10142584948263478",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.7569708583159346015982448562373747810509583026164114653844244619074105",
      "rank_2x": 1,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.834415041007",
      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50p30_1x": "0.080901559655",
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50p30_2x": "0.103314539116"
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": "50.35",
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.8394419360866359130858474254057334982315506376273640393685231147920032",
      "rank_1x": 1,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10142584948263478",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.7569708583159346015982448562373747810509583026164114653844244619074105",
      "rank_2x": 1,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.834415041007",
      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50p30_1x": "0.080901559655",
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50p30_2x": "0.103314539116"
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": "50.36",
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.8394419360866359130858474254057334982315506376273640393685231147920032",
      "rank_1x": 1,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10142584948263478",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.7569708583159346015982448562373747810509583026164114653844244619074105",
      "rank_2x": 1,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.834415041007",
      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50p30_1x": "0.080901559655",
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50p30_2x": "0.103314539116"
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": "50.37",
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.8394419360866359130858474254057334982315506376273640393685231147920032",
      "rank_1x": 1,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10142584948263478",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.7569708583159346015982448562373747810509583026164114653844244619074105",
      "rank_2x": 1,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.834415041007",
      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50p30_1x": "0.080901559655",
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50p30_2x": "0.103314539116"
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": "50.38",
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.8394419360866359130858474254057334982315506376273640393685231147920032",
      "rank_1x": 1,
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      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.7569708583159346015982448562373747810509583026164114653844244619074105",
      "rank_2x": 1,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.834415041007",
      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50p30_1x": "0.080901559655",
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50p30_2x": "0.103314539116"
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": "50.39",
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.8394419360866359130858474254057334982315506376273640393685231147920032",
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      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
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      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50p30_1x": "0.080901559655",
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50p30_2x": "0.103314539116"
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": "50.40",
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.8394419360866359130858474254057334982315506376273640393685231147920032",
      "rank_1x": 1,
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      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
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      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50p30_1x": "0.080901559655",
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50p30_2x": "0.103314539116"
    }
  ]
}