{
  "evaluated_on": "2026-10-22",
  "period_start": "2026-01-01",
  "period_end": "2026-10-21",
  "scored_days": 294,
  "metric": "net total period return / absolute maximum daily-close drawdown",
  "annualized": false,
  "normal_commission_per_fill": "0.001",
  "normal_adverse_slippage_per_fill": "0.0005",
  "stress_cost_multiplier": 2,
  "initial_usdt": 10000,
  "initial_btc": 0,
  "maximum_btc_weight": 1,
  "leverage": false,
  "same_rule": "SMA100 close filter; 30 simple daily return sample standard deviation * sqrt365; next-open post-cost weights; daily rebalances and costed final close liquidation",
  "source_data_sha256": "b8040ef36e47a120dc173e96b9c4fb986f4768b1b81ad2075f6a1300fd4de440",
  "fine_results_sha256": "ada7848e2c5d33de9e19339b0a688837ed6cb984847eb0168c4e2428aaeb0184",
  "lowest_tested_target_in_best_tie": 51,
  "unique_optimum": false,
  "future_optimality_established": false,
  "automatic_target_selection": false,
  "new_independent_out_of_sample": false,
  "gap_first_best_vs_50": {
    "1": {
      "net_return_percentage_points": "0.00766955605335800",
      "final_usdt": "0.766955605328",
      "drawdown_percentage_points": "0E-17"
    },
    "2": {
      "net_return_percentage_points": "0.00979424307328000",
      "final_usdt": "0.979424307328",
      "drawdown_percentage_points": "0E-16"
    }
  },
  "limitations": [
    "Only completed UTC daily candles in 2026 are scored; 100 earlier prices are indicator warmup only.",
    "Same known history has been searched again; not new independent out-of-sample evidence.",
    "Only integer targets in the stated grids were tested; 51 is the lowest tested winner, not a continuous or future optimum.",
    "Daily-close drawdown excludes intraday losses, execution uncertainty, actual liquidity, lot rounding, taxes and cash interest.",
    "Three closed trend episodes are a small sample; rebalances are not independent trend observations.",
    "No strategy guarantees profits. No SHADOW, account or order changes."
  ],
  "title": "BTC/USDT 2026: %50–%60 birer puan ince tarama",
  "target_percentages": [
    50,
    51,
    52,
    53,
    54,
    55,
    56,
    57,
    58,
    59,
    60
  ],
  "scenario_count": 22,
  "best_tied_targets_normal": [
    51,
    52,
    53,
    54,
    55,
    56,
    57,
    58,
    59,
    60
  ],
  "best_tied_targets_double_cost": [
    51,
    52,
    53,
    54,
    55,
    56,
    57,
    58,
    59,
    60
  ],
  "comparison": [
    {
      "target_percentage": 50,
      "net_return_1x": "0.1113067459435666",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.838863919561431058409750681296560331061598635118618744908375",
      "rank_1x": 11,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10132790705190198",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.756239885233278290240754713725752061577721076930743262258571",
      "rank_2x": 11,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.067459435679",
      "fills_1x": 8,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.21061603145844",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.60560848664627",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "final_usdt_2x": "11013.279070519024",
      "fills_2x": 8,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.8846073048372",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.94349375958613",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": 51,
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.839441936086635913085847425405733498231550637627364039368523",
      "rank_1x": 1,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10142584948263478",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.756970858315934601598244856237374781050958302616411465384424",
      "rank_2x": 1,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.834415041007",
      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": 52,
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.839441936086635913085847425405733498231550637627364039368523",
      "rank_1x": 1,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10142584948263478",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.756970858315934601598244856237374781050958302616411465384424",
      "rank_2x": 1,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.834415041007",
      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": 53,
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.839441936086635913085847425405733498231550637627364039368523",
      "rank_1x": 1,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10142584948263478",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.756970858315934601598244856237374781050958302616411465384424",
      "rank_2x": 1,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.834415041007",
      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": 54,
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.839441936086635913085847425405733498231550637627364039368523",
      "rank_1x": 1,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10142584948263478",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.756970858315934601598244856237374781050958302616411465384424",
      "rank_2x": 1,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.834415041007",
      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": 55,
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.839441936086635913085847425405733498231550637627364039368523",
      "rank_1x": 1,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10142584948263478",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.756970858315934601598244856237374781050958302616411465384424",
      "rank_2x": 1,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.834415041007",
      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": 56,
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.839441936086635913085847425405733498231550637627364039368523",
      "rank_1x": 1,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10142584948263478",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.756970858315934601598244856237374781050958302616411465384424",
      "rank_2x": 1,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.834415041007",
      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": 57,
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.839441936086635913085847425405733498231550637627364039368523",
      "rank_1x": 1,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10142584948263478",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.756970858315934601598244856237374781050958302616411465384424",
      "rank_2x": 1,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.834415041007",
      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": 58,
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.839441936086635913085847425405733498231550637627364039368523",
      "rank_1x": 1,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10142584948263478",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.756970858315934601598244856237374781050958302616411465384424",
      "rank_2x": 1,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.834415041007",
      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": 59,
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.839441936086635913085847425405733498231550637627364039368523",
      "rank_1x": 1,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10142584948263478",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.756970858315934601598244856237374781050958302616411465384424",
      "rank_2x": 1,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.834415041007",
      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": 60,
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.839441936086635913085847425405733498231550637627364039368523",
      "rank_1x": 1,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10142584948263478",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.756970858315934601598244856237374781050958302616411465384424",
      "rank_2x": 1,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.834415041007",
      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3
    }
  ]
}