{
  "evaluated_on": "2026-10-22",
  "period_start": "2026-01-01",
  "period_end": "2026-10-21",
  "scored_days": 294,
  "metric": "net total period return / absolute maximum daily-close drawdown",
  "annualized": false,
  "normal_commission_per_fill": "0.001",
  "normal_adverse_slippage_per_fill": "0.0005",
  "stress_cost_multiplier": 2,
  "initial_usdt": 10000,
  "initial_btc": 0,
  "maximum_btc_weight": 1,
  "leverage": false,
  "same_rule": "SMA100 close filter; last 30 simple daily return sample standard deviation * sqrt365; next-open post-cost target weights; daily rebalances and costed final close liquidation",
  "source_data_sha256": "b8040ef36e47a120dc173e96b9c4fb986f4768b1b81ad2075f6a1300fd4de440",
  "micro_results_sha256": "17c406e56b6544c06640685bade9b66faa4ac623fea60803089dbc0861c80c96",
  "previous_fine_results_sha256": "ada7848e2c5d33de9e19339b0a688837ed6cb984847eb0168c4e2428aaeb0184",
  "previous_coarse_results_sha256": "3414ff82286bae516503554237fc16fa6bf39ba0959cf865f329fbf5afd7c5dd",
  "independent_audit": {
    "status": "pass",
    "counts": {
      "comparisons": 352,
      "internal_reference_100_comparisons": 12,
      "baseline_comparisons": 24
    }
  },
  "lowest_tested_target_in_best_tie": "50.4",
  "unique_optimum": false,
  "future_optimality_established": false,
  "automatic_target_selection": false,
  "new_independent_out_of_sample": false,
  "gap_first_best_vs_50": {
    "1": {
      "final_usdt": "0.766955605328",
      "net_return_percentage_points": "0.00766955605335800",
      "drawdown_percentage_points": "0E-17",
      "final_usdt_vs_previous_micro_step": "0.080901559655"
    },
    "2": {
      "final_usdt": "0.979424307328",
      "net_return_percentage_points": "0.00979424307328000",
      "drawdown_percentage_points": "0E-16",
      "final_usdt_vs_previous_micro_step": "0.103314539116"
    }
  },
  "limitations": [
    "Only completed 2026 UTC daily candles are scored; earlier 100 prices are indicator warmup only.",
    "Repeated selection on known history is not new independent out-of-sample evidence.",
    "Only the stated discrete grids were tested; the first equal winner is not a continuous or future optimum.",
    "Daily-close drawdown excludes intraday losses, actual liquidity, execution uncertainty, lot rounding, taxes and cash interest.",
    "Three trend episodes are a small sample; no guarantee of profit and no account or order changes."
  ],
  "title": "BTC/USDT 2026: %50.0–%51.0, 0.1 puan mikro tarama",
  "target_percentages": [
    "50.0",
    "50.1",
    "50.2",
    "50.3",
    "50.4",
    "50.5",
    "50.6",
    "50.7",
    "50.8",
    "50.9",
    "51.0"
  ],
  "target_milli_keys": [
    500,
    501,
    502,
    503,
    504,
    505,
    506,
    507,
    508,
    509,
    510
  ],
  "scenario_count": 22,
  "best_tied_targets_normal": [
    "50.4",
    "50.5",
    "50.6",
    "50.7",
    "50.8",
    "50.9",
    "51.0"
  ],
  "best_tied_targets_double_cost": [
    "50.4",
    "50.5",
    "50.6",
    "50.7",
    "50.8",
    "50.9",
    "51.0"
  ],
  "comparison": [
    {
      "target_percentage": "50.0",
      "net_return_1x": "0.1113067459435666",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.8388639195614310584097506812965603310615986351186187449083754406033891",
      "rank_1x": 11,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10132790705190198",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.7562398852332782902407547137257520615777210769307432622585714520978207",
      "rank_2x": 11,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.067459435679",
      "fills_1x": 8,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.21061603145844",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.60560848664627",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50_1x": "0E-12",
      "final_usdt_2x": "11013.279070519024",
      "fills_2x": 8,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.8846073048372",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.94349375958613",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50_2x": "0E-12"
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": "50.1",
      "net_return_1x": "0.11132961427530175",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.8390362668727333323572850589648112743860115627174625700857408357639997",
      "rank_1x": 10,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10135711036192441",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.7564578380999893545828117626227438489434225325862463507647901460658825",
      "rank_2x": 10,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.296142753023",
      "fills_1x": 8,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.17106349680825",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.585832261659814",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50_1x": "0.228683317344",
      "final_usdt_2x": "11013.571103619246",
      "fills_2x": 8,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.80622510122048",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.90430283223775",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50_2x": "0.292033100222"
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": "50.2",
      "net_return_1x": "0.11135248274348974",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.8392086152124132057696682860087861761775107515789599142007553085070175",
      "rank_1x": 9,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10138631402086262",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.7566757935707612063259533487730707624108170983517907570361249107416450",
      "rank_2x": 9,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.524827434905",
      "fills_1x": 8,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.13151072614967",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.566055918669417",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50_1x": "0.457367999226",
      "final_usdt_2x": "11013.863140208634",
      "fills_2x": 8,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.72784196110712",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.865111436643126",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50_2x": "0.584069689610"
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": "50.3",
      "net_return_1x": "0.11137535134813437",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.8393809645804993173683660822011744707567169738892580064600221297243845",
      "rank_1x": 8,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10141551802872284",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.7568937516456403417871574797539971156714082469223517142288682952128007",
      "rank_2x": 8,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.753513481352",
      "fills_1x": 8,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.09195771948061",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.546279457674032",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50_1x": "0.686054045673",
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.155180287236",
      "fills_2x": 8,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.64945788448031",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.825919572793865",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50_2x": "0.876109768212"
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": "50.4",
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.8394419360866359130858474254057334982315506376273640393685231147920032",
      "rank_1x": 1,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10142584948263478",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.7569708583159346015982448562373747810509583026164114653844244619074105",
      "rank_2x": 1,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.834415041007",
      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50_1x": "0.766955605328",
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50_2x": "0.979424307328"
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": "50.5",
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.8394419360866359130858474254057334982315506376273640393685231147920032",
      "rank_1x": 1,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10142584948263478",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.7569708583159346015982448562373747810509583026164114653844244619074105",
      "rank_2x": 1,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.834415041007",
      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50_1x": "0.766955605328",
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50_2x": "0.979424307328"
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": "50.6",
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.8394419360866359130858474254057334982315506376273640393685231147920032",
      "rank_1x": 1,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10142584948263478",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.7569708583159346015982448562373747810509583026164114653844244619074105",
      "rank_2x": 1,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.834415041007",
      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50_1x": "0.766955605328",
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50_2x": "0.979424307328"
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": "50.7",
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.8394419360866359130858474254057334982315506376273640393685231147920032",
      "rank_1x": 1,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10142584948263478",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.7569708583159346015982448562373747810509583026164114653844244619074105",
      "rank_2x": 1,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.834415041007",
      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50_1x": "0.766955605328",
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50_2x": "0.979424307328"
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": "50.8",
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.8394419360866359130858474254057334982315506376273640393685231147920032",
      "rank_1x": 1,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10142584948263478",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.7569708583159346015982448562373747810509583026164114653844244619074105",
      "rank_2x": 1,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.834415041007",
      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50_1x": "0.766955605328",
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50_2x": "0.979424307328"
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": "50.9",
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.8394419360866359130858474254057334982315506376273640393685231147920032",
      "rank_1x": 1,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10142584948263478",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.7569708583159346015982448562373747810509583026164114653844244619074105",
      "rank_2x": 1,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.834415041007",
      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50_1x": "0.766955605328",
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50_2x": "0.979424307328"
    },
    {
      "target_percentage": "51.0",
      "net_return_1x": "0.11138344150410018",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_1x": "0.13268748762225846",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_1x": "0.8394419360866359130858474254057334982315506376273640393685231147920032",
      "rank_1x": 1,
      "net_return_2x": "0.10142584948263478",
      "maximum_drawdown_abs_2x": "0.1339891072006143",
      "return_drawdown_ratio_2x": "0.7569708583159346015982448562373747810509583026164114653844244619074105",
      "rank_2x": 1,
      "final_usdt_1x": "11113.834415041007",
      "fills_1x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_1x": "59.07796517389936",
      "slippage_usdt_1x": "29.539283199861593",
      "closed_trend_episodes_1x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50_1x": "0.766955605328",
      "final_usdt_2x": "11014.258494826352",
      "fills_2x": 6,
      "commission_usdt_2x": "117.62172807838868",
      "slippage_usdt_2x": "58.81205473146794",
      "closed_trend_episodes_2x": 3,
      "extra_final_usdt_vs_50_2x": "0.979424307328"
    }
  ]
}
